Poll confusion over Labour lead

Party strategists are struggling to establish the mood of the electorate as the latest poll puts Labour six per cent ahead of the Conservatives.

The YouGov poll for the Telegraph puts Labour support up three points since January on 38 per cent, with the Tories slipping two points to 32 per cent, and the Liberal Democrats down one on 21 per cent.

Earlier in the week an ICM/Guardian poll put the Tories just three per cent behind Labour followed by a MORI/Financial Times survey making the difference just two per cent.

With two polls showing a swing their way the Conservatives felt clear messages on crime and immigration were finally striking a chord.

Credit was given to the Australian campaign director Lynton Crosby who had masterminded two unlikely Conservative wins in his native country.

But any new found optimism in the Tory camp will be tempered by the latest YouGov poll which demonstrates the volatility of both polls and voters.

The latest survey will go some way to reassure Labour MPs worried by signs of a Conservative rally ahead of the general election, expected on May 5.

However, many are unconvinced that Labour’s strategy is playing to the party’s strengths.

All three polls, however, show the Lib Dems either static or falling back, a situation the party believes will change dramatically as they get more publicity nearer the election.

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